The coming post-conflict process will mark the beginning of a stable and secure future for both nations
There’s a timeless rule: in peace, prepare for war; in war, think about peace. As the conflict in Ukraine nears its inevitable conclusion – a Russia victory – our thoughts must turn toward the future and to the shape of the peace that follows.
To paraphrase Stalin: The Banderites [followers of the WW2 Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera] come and go, but the Ukrainian people remain.
The Future Map...
... predominance of individual states or unions. A way of thinking about international relations which differs from the European one offers much more flexibility, it reflects the geographical environment, where there can be no permanent allied relations and no conflicts of high ideological charge.
However, there are also differences of a more essential nature. It is necessary to take into account that the absolute majority of countries that are now friendly to Russia are medium-sized states that do not have ...
..., Moscow worked to regain lost status, prestige, and influence on the world stage.
Syria symbolized the culmination of that process: Russia’s first decisive intervention beyond its immediate post-Soviet neighborhood in one of the world’s central conflicts.
The new Russia had acted militarily before, but only within its former Soviet sphere. This presumably led then-US President Barack Obama to dismiss the country as a
“regional power.”
The Syrian intervention shattered that perception. By ...
... United States and Israel.
The turn towards Syria’s return to the Arab vector has taken place against the backdrop of the trend over the past two years towards building new regional alliances. This was prompted by such factors as fatigue from ongoing conflicts, the need for mutually beneficial economic cooperation in the face of slowing global growth and disillusionment with United States Middle East policy. Signs of the easing of tensions, a kind of Middle East detente, include a number of important ...
Immanuel Kant: “Out of wood so crooked as that of which man is made, nothing absolutely straight can be wrought”
Queen Louise Bridge over the Russian-Lithuanian border, Summer 2023
East
Challenging times await. Lithuania is reinforcing its border to Kaliningrad Oblast, formerly Königsberg. New barriers known as “dragon’s teeth” have been installed on the Queen Louise Bridge at the border crossing on the Nemunas River,[1] which Germans know as the Memel. Additional dragon’s teeth are to be...
The breakdown of private Russia-NATO diplomacy increases the risks of a terrible event
The ongoing standoff over Ukraine is increasingly becoming a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO, raising serious concerns about the risk of nuclear escalation.
In this new phase, both Moscow and the bloc’s leading members have nuclear capabilities, and how these powers communicate with each other has become crucial. The question is whether sufficient signals are being sent, red lines are being properly...
The era of Washington’s belief in the need to manage global affairs is coming to an end, and the president-elect will help shape the world
Let’s be clear, the outcome of the US election won’t change the world. Processes that didn’t begin yesterday won’t tomorrow. But the American vote has become an important indicator of long-term change.
The columnists of the liberal New York Times, which actively supported Kamala Harris, declared on the morning after the election: It is time to recognize that...
'Dangerous Consequences' for US in Ukraine
Newsweek: As the Ukraine conflict continues, how different is Russia's position than in 2022 and how are the costs of conflict being weighed against the progress made toward strategic objectives?
Lavrov:
Our position is widely known and remains unchanged. Russia is open to a politico-diplomatic settlement that should remove the root causes of the crisis. It should aim to end the conflict rather than achieve a ceasefire. The West should stop supplying...
The decision was long overdue and is a response to reckless agression from Washington
Updating Russia’s nuclear doctrine is certainly not a spontaneous step. It is long overdue and is linked to the fact that the current level of atomic deterrence has proven inadequate. Especially given that it failed to prevent the West from waging a hybrid war against our country.
Until recently, the desire to inflict a strategic defeat on us was considered insane and impossible, given that Russia is a nuclear...
... sort of behavior seen in the first half of the 20th century. But history indicates that the international system’s transformation is unlikely to be entirely peaceful. Hence it was assumed that the modern version of a world war is a series of local conflicts of various scales, whose outcomes define the new international system. Events since the early 2010s—Iraq and Syria—seemed to confirm this assumption, and they entered into their decisive phase with the outbreak of fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh,...
